Research Archive

This report examines recent trends in Chinese investment in the United States, drawing on interviews with state officials. It begins with a general review of Chinese outbound investment patterns, and then looks in more detail at U.S. real estate, industry, and investment promotion. The paper identifies important implications for the United States, including the potential to strengthen regulation of the EB-5 visa program and improve federal support of state efforts. 02/26/2015
Highlights of this edition: Hurdles Abound in Unifying China’s Pension Systems; China’s Northwest Sees Steel Opportunities on the “One Belt, One Road”; Rethinking China’s “Going Out” Strategy in the High-Speed Rail Industry; Lowering the Reserve Requirement for Chinese Banks: A Smart Move? 02/13/2015
This report examines many of the weaknesses in the PLA’s human capital and organization realms, its combat capabilities across various domains, and China’s defense research and industrial complex. Furthermore, the report analyzes how these weaknesses affect the PLA’s performance of missions tasked by Beijing. 02/11/2015
Highlights of this month’s edition: Bilateral trade: U.S. goods deficit with China sets new record, imports outpace exports; U.S. maintains surplus in services despite weaker export growth; transport equipment shipments to China remain strong, farm goods shipments tail off. - Quarterly review of China’s economy: China registers slowest growth in quarter-century; strong consumption and weak investment suggests some rebalancing; low inflation and “shadow” banking containment give central bank room for easing. - Policy trends in China’s economy: Leadership’s “new normal” principle likely to carry into 2015, emphasizing slower but higher quality growth. - Sector focus-China’s draft Foreign Investment Law: Draft of new foreign investment law introduces “negative list” approach and codifies national treatment, but updated national security review could create additional market access barriers. 02/05/2015
This report examines recent upgrades to Taiwan’s patrol fleet and implications for Taiwan’s security. 02/03/2015
As the United States weighs options for responding to the widely publicized cyber attack on Sony Pictures Entertainment in November 2014, for which it has attributed responsibility to North Korea, the perspectives and potential reactions of China are of particular interest. This report analyzes four questions regarding China's position: whether it was involved in the attack, prospects for cooperation with the U.S. response, likely reactions to a U.S. counterstrike in cyberspace, and potential for future deterrence based on U.S. actions. 01/14/2015
Highlights of this month’s edition: •Bilateral trade: November trade deficit with China increases 10.7 percent year-on-year; 2014 deficit on track for another record; U.S. exports to China contract for third consecutive month. •Bilateral policy issues: Vice-PM Wang Yang makes conciliatory remarks at JCCT; JCCT renders important outcomes on export controls, medical products, biotech, antitrust; China tables new GPA offer, again piecemeal; China complies early with WTO rare earths ruling. •Policy trends in China’s economy: Internet company TenCent launches China’s first fully online private bank with Premier Li’s blessing. •Sector spotlight: China approves MIR 162 GMO corn trait, paving way for more U.S. corn shipments; asynchronous biotech approvals and other agricultural market barriers remain. 01/07/2015
On November 29, 2014, Taiwan held a series of local elections for 11,130 positions, including mayors, county magistrates, city and county councilors, township chiefs, and village and borough chiefs. This staff report provides an overview of the election results and assesses their implications for cross-Strait relations from now until Taiwan’s presidential election in 2016. 12/30/2014
This staff report provides an overview of areas of tension and cooperation in China-India relations. It also assesses the implications for the United States of the 2014 election of Prime Minister Narendra Modi in India, India’s evolving strategic calculations, and the growing Indian economy and role in global energy markets. Finally, it discusses areas of potential U.S.-India cooperation in the security and economic realms. 12/22/2014

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Disclaimer

The research papers in this section were prepared at the request of the Commission to support its deliberations. They are posted to the Commission’s website in order to promote greater public understanding of the issues addressed by the Commission in its ongoing assessment of U.S.-China economic relations and their implications for U.S. security, as mandated by P.L. 106-398 and P.L. 108-7. Their posting to the Commission’s website does not imply an endorsement by the Commission or any individual Commissioner of the views or conclusions expressed in them.